Match Info

NORWAY: Division 3 - Group 3 - Round 23

Date: 30 September 2024, Monday


	Sarpsborg 2		Åskollen

	1	X	2
	1.38	5.34	4.7
	1.44	5.43	4.74	Watch
	1.4	5.5	5
	1.45	4.85	4.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↑ (1.37)	5.28 ↑ (5.25)	4.85 ↓ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.25

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarpsborg 2
64.1%

Draw
17.2%

Åskollen
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

17.2%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.7%

16.8%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarpsborg 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Åskollen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 2 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Åskollen than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Sarpsborg 2 - Åskollen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Gindeberg S. (Own goal),
37', 1 - 1, Skoglund N. ⚽,
39', 2 - 1, Roguski S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
61', 3 - 1, Skoglund N. ⚽,
82', 3 - 2, Holseter-Karlsen S. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 3, Dagane A. ⚽,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 6 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Åskollen could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sarpsborg 2 is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sarpsborg 2 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarpsborg 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
23.09.24	Flint - Sarpsborg 2	5:2 ✺
16.09.24	Sarpsborg 2 - Skeid 2	2:1 ✺
09.09.24	Frigg Oslo - Sarpsborg 2	4:2 ✺
01.09.24	Sarpsborg 2 - Oppsal	2:1 ✺
26.08.24	Nordstrand - Sarpsborg 2	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWLWL
- Åskollen FK
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
24.09.24	Åskollen - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo 2	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Asker Fotball - Åskollen	5:2 ✺
07.09.24	Åskollen - Nordstrand	1:6 ✺
03.09.24	Mjøndalen 2 - Åskollen	1:2 ✺
26.08.24	Åskollen - Skeid 2	0:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 3
14.04.24	Åskollen - Sarpsborg 2	2:4

Sarpsborg 2 - Åskollen: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide