Match Info

Division 3 - Group 6 - Round 21

Date: 22 September 2025, Monday


	Sarpsborg 2		Grei

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.35	4.25	1.75
	2.92	3.98	1.97
	2.55	3.90	2.32	Watch
	3.29	4.15	1.81
	1.96	4	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (1.87)	4.06 ↑ (3.8)	2.17 ↓ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarpsborg 2
33.4%

Draw
23.2%

Grei
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49%

24.1%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

24%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarpsborg 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sarpsborg 2's form might have worsened.

Grei has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Grei's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 2 than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarpsborg 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grei than the current prediction. (-16.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Grei, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sarpsborg 2 - Grei Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Grei (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Grei (4.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Sarpsborg 2 (2.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Sarpsborg 2 (votes: 1 - 25%). Grei (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 6).

Sarpsborg 2 is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Grei has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sarpsborg 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sarpsborg 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarpsborg 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
13.09.25	Ørn-Horten - Sarpsborg 2	5:1 ✺
06.09.25	Sarpsborg 2 - Lokomotiv Oslo	1:1 ✺
01.09.25	Pors 2 - Sarpsborg 2	3:2 ✺
24.08.25	Sarpsborg 2 - Flint	1:1 ✺
18.08.25	Oppsal - Sarpsborg 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTL
- Grei
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
14.09.25	Grei - Odd 2	1:3 ✺
06.09.25	Stabæk 2 - Grei	1:4 ✺
30.08.25	Grei - Kvik Halden	0:7 ✺
23.08.25	Fredrikstad 2 - Grei	1:3 ✺
16.08.25	Ørn-Horten - Grei	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 6
02.06.25	Grei - Sarpsborg 2	1:2

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