Match Info
Division 3 - Group 6 - Round 21Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday
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 |
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Sarpsborg 2 |
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Gjøvik-Lyn |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.40 |
3.75 |
2.30 |
|
 |
2.55 |
3.85 |
2.1 |
|
 |
2.58 |
4.04 |
2.1 |
|
 |
2.59 |
4.3 |
2.13 |
 Watch |
 |
2.55 |
4 |
2.07 |
|
 |
2.63 |
3.92 |
2.11 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↓
(3.1) |
3.98 ↓
(4.04) |
2.14 ↑
(1.93) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Sarpsborg 2
35.3% | Draw
22.6% | Gjøvik-Lyn
42.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarpsborg 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarpsborg 2's performance.Gjøvik-Lyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gjøvik-Lyn might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg 2 than the current prediction. (-5.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarpsborg 2 that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gjøvik-Lyn than the current prediction. (+4.6%)Sarpsborg 2 - Gjøvik Lyn Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 8', 1 - 0, Gueye B. ⚽,
- 11', 1 - 1, Jansen P. ⚽,
- 35', 2 - 1, Bakkenget M. ⚽,
- 38', 2 - 2, Jansen P. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 52', 3 - 2, Ljung M. ⚽,
Preview
A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 11th and 4th).Sarpsborg 2 is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).Performances by Gjøvik-Lyn have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins). A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Gjøvik-Lyn holding a narrow advantage.In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Sarpsborg 2 has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 4 | SK Gjovik-Lyn | 22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 36:20 | 16 | 38 |
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| 11 | Sarpsborg 08 2 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 50:53 | -3 | 28 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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