Match Info

Date: 1 August 2022, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Sarpsborg 2		Start 2

	1	X	2
	1.83	4.2	3
	1.78	4.3	3
	1.8	4.1	3
	1.79	4.48	3.02
	1.88	3.8	3
	1.8	4.3	3.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.12)	4.2 ↑ (4.2)	3.06 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sarpsborg 2
49.4%

Draw
21.3%

Start 2
29.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.9%

21.7%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

21.8%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sarpsborg 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sarpsborg 2's performance.

Start 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Start 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg 2 than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sarpsborg 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Start 2 than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Start 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	11.8%	17.6%

Sarpsborg 2 - Start 2 Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Sarpsborg 2 will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Start 2 will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sarpsborg 2: 48.9% – 92.3%.

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 11).

Sarpsborg 2 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Start 2 is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Start 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sarpsborg 2 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sarpsborg 2 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sarpsborg 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
25.07.22	Eik-Tønsberg - Sarpsborg 2	4:1 ✺
27.06.22	Sarpsborg 2 - Fram Larvik	1:1 ✺
20.06.22	Start 2 - Sarpsborg 2	4:1 ✺
11.06.22	Sarpsborg 2 - IL Express	4:3 ✺
06.06.22	Vindbjart - Sarpsborg 2	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LTLWL
- IK Start 2
Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
23.07.22	Start 2 - Pors	2:3 ✺
27.06.22	Halsen - Start 2	5:1 ✺
20.06.22	Start 2 - Sarpsborg 2	4:1 ✺
11.06.22	Fredrikstad 2 - Start 2	1:0 ✺
06.06.22	Start 2 - Mandalskameratene	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 3 - Group 4
20.06.22	Start 2 - Sarpsborg 2	4:1

Sarpsborg 2 - Start 2