Match Info
Division 3 - Group 6 - Round 11Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday
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Sarpsborg 2 |
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Fram Larvik |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
2.00 |
3.90 |
2.65 |
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 |
1.97 |
3.80 |
2.75 |
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 |
1.97 |
4.10 |
2.88 |
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 |
2.16 |
3.67 |
2.85 |
 Watch |
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2.00 |
3.60 |
2.90 |
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1.99 |
4.51 |
2.81 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.02 ↑
(1.8) |
3.93 ↓
(4) |
2.81 ↓
(3.05) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 4.00
- The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sarpsborg 2
44.8% | Draw
23% | Fram Larvik
32.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarpsborg 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Fram Larvik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarpsborg 2 than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sarpsborg 2, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fram Larvik than the current prediction. (-4%)Sarpsborg 2 - Fram Larvik Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 12', 1 - 0, Gueye B. ⚽,
- 43', 2 - 0, Camil Mmaee ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 65', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 11 and 12 in the zone Relegation).Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.Fram may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.Recently, Fram has had a series of home games. Sarpsborg 2 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 0.8:2.3).Including home matches between the teams, Sarpsborg 2 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 11 | Sarpsborg 08 2 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 50:53 | -3 | 28 |
| 12 | Fram | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 39:49 | -10 | 23 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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