Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 1 - Round 29

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub


	Numancia		Sarriana

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.65	7.3
	1.33	4.7	9.34
	1.32	4.63	8.68	Watch
	1.31	4.55	8.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.44)	4.63 ↑ (3.93)	8.47 ↑ (7.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Numancia
69.4%

Draw
19.8%

Sarriana
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

23.4%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

22.5%

13.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Numancia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Numancia's performance.

Sarriana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Numancia than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Numancia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarriana than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Numancia - Sarriana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Buyla J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', De Frutos O. 🟥,
83', 1 - 1, Claveria M. ⚽,
86', 1 - 2, Claveria M. ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 2, Vicente I. ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Sarriana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Numancia is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Numancia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Numancia
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.03.26	Coruxo - Numancia	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Numancia - Atlético Astorga	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Valladolid B - Numancia	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Numancia - Burgos Promesas	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Deportivo A Coruña B - Numancia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLTWL
- SD Sarriana
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
21.03.26	Sarriana - Langreo	1:1 ✺
15.03.26	Sarriana - Salamanca	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Real Ávila - Sarriana	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Sarriana - UD Ourense	3:1 ✺
22.02.26	Coruxo - Sarriana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.10.25	Sarriana - Numancia	4:2

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