Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Vanni Sanna (Sassari)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253


	Sassari Torres		Ternana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.52	3	2.78
	2.71	3.05	2.61
	3.73	2.37	2.60	Watch
	2.45	3.02	2.71	Watch
	2.6	3.05	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↑ (2.6)	2.9 ↓ (3.05)	2.62 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sassari Torres
32.9%

Draw
31.8%

Ternana
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

29%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6%

29.4%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sassari Torres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sassari Torres than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Sassari Torres - Ternana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petriccione D. (G) 30. Fabriani C. 14. Idda R. (C) 3. Mercadante M. 2. Scheffer M. 6. Nunziatini F. 16. Sala M. 8. Masala A. 20. Lunghi A. 9. Musso A. 11. Diakite A.	71. D'Alterio F. (G) 20. Donati F. (C) 13. Maestrelli A. 14. Meccariello B. 2. Bianay Balcot C. 16. Garetto M. 4. Vallocchia A. 43. Ndrecka A. 30. Orellana M. 27. Ferrante A. 9. Dubickas E.
Substitutes
23. Antonelli N. 5. Biagetti C. 25. Bonin L. 4. Brentan M. 21. Carboni M. 7. Di Stefano L. 26. Dumani S. 24. Giorico D. . Marano M. (G) 22. Stangoni L. (G) 70. Starita E. 27. Zambataro E. 77. Zecca G.	36. Biondini G. 11. Brignola E. 38. Bruti T. 19. Capuano M. 70. Durmush M. 10. Leonardi S. 29. Longoni M. 8. McJannet E. 12. Morlupo A. (G) 80. Proietti M. 7. Romeo F. 5. Tripi F. 33. Valenti M. 1. Vitali T. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', Bianay Balcot C. 🟨,
31', Ferrante A. 🟨,
41', Masala A. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Musso A. ⚽,
44', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Maestrelli A. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Dubickas E. ⚽,
64', Meccariello B. ↓, Capuano M. ↑,
64', Scheffer M. ↓, Zecca G. ↑,
64', Masala A. ↓, Brentan M. ↑,
69', Diakite A. ↓, Starita E. ↑,
73', Bianay Balcot C. ↓, Romeo F. ↑,
74', Orellana M. ↓, McJannet E. ↑,
74', Dubickas E. ↓, Leonardi S. ↑,
81', Nunziatini F. ↓, Di Stefano L. ↑,
81', Lunghi A. ↓, Bonin L. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Torres won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Torres won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Sassari Torres - the odds 2.6 are the expected chance of winning is 34.06%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sassari Torres 1903
Italian Serie C Group B
14.09.25	Bra - Sassari Torres	1:1 ✺
06.09.25	Sassari Torres - Pianese	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Campobasso - Sassari Torres	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Sassari Torres - Pontedera	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
16.08.25	Sassari Torres - Livorno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 TLLWW
- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
14.09.25	Ternana - Carpi	2:0 ✺
07.09.25	Rimini - Ternana	1:4 ✺
31.08.25	Ternana - Ascoli	0:2 ✺
22.08.25	Livorno - Ternana	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
09.08.25	Virtus Entella - Ternana	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
02.03.25	Ternana - Sassari Torres	3:1
20.10.24	Sassari Torres - Ternana	1:1

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