Match Info

Date: 8 December 2021, Wednesday


	Sasso Marconi		Cavenago Fanfulla

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.4	2.9
	2.33	3.15	2.6
	2.35	3.12	2.64
	2.35	3	2.7
	2.44	3.16	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.3 ↑ (2.14)	3.17 ↓ (3.33)	2.72 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sasso Marconi
38.8%

Draw
28.3%

Cavenago Fanfulla
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

26.8%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

20.2%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sasso Marconi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Cavenago Fanfulla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sasso Marconi than the current prediction. (+16.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sasso Marconi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavenago Fanfulla than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cavenago Fanfulla, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 9 and 14).

Recent matches Sasso Marconi is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Fanfulla is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sasso Marconi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sasso Marconi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Sasso Marconi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Sasso Marconi 1924
Italian Serie D - Group D
05.12.21	Real Forte Querceta - Sasso Marconi	1:2 ✺
28.11.21	Sasso Marconi - Mezzolara	0:1 ✺
21.11.21	Progresso - Sasso Marconi	1:0 ✺
14.11.21	Sasso Marconi - Borgo San Donnino	1:1 ✺
07.11.21	Tritium - Sasso Marconi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLLTT
- ASD Cavenago Fanfulla
Italian Serie D - Group D
05.12.21	Cavenago Fanfulla - Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano	1:2 ✺
28.11.21	Seravezza Pozzi - Cavenago Fanfulla	2:3 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie D
24.11.21	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Cavenago Fanfulla	2:1 penalties ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
21.11.21	Cavenago Fanfulla - Rimini	1:2 ✺
14.11.21	Athletic Carpi - Cavenago Fanfulla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
09.02.20	Cavenago Fanfulla - Sasso Marconi	2:1
06.10.19	Sasso Marconi - Cavenago Fanfulla	2:0
03.02.19	Cavenago Fanfulla - Sasso Marconi	3:1
14.10.18	Sasso Marconi - Cavenago Fanfulla	1:2

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