The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Progresso 49.6%
Draw 28.1%
Sasso Marconi 22.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.8%
27.4%
20.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.9%
26.3%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Sasso Marconi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sasso Marconi than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Progresso - Sasso Marconi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
58', 2 - 1, ⚽,
66', 3 - 1, ⚽,
89', 4 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ))
Sasso Marconi is Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out )
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progresso won 3.
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Sasso Marconi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Progresso is considered a favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Progresso won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:10. (average 1.7:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Progresso won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).