The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sasso Marconi 31.7%
Draw 28.2%
Cittadella Vis Modena 40.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.9%
28.3%
35.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.3%
28.6%
35.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sasso Marconi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Cittadella Vis Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sasso Marconi than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cittadella Vis Modena than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Sasso Marconi - Cittadella Vis Modena Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
Sasso Marconi is on a difficult losing run (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Cittadella Vis M have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Cittadella Vis M could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Sasso Marconi has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:6 (averaging 0.3:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sasso Marconi against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 0:2 goals (averaging 0:1 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Sasso Marconi - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 35.86%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.