Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 5

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Follonica Gavorrano		Sasso Marconi

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.30	4.50
	1.58	3.65	4.6
	1.74	3.35	3.97
	1.72	3.58	4.34	Watch
	1.7	3.25	3.85
	1.69	3.35	4.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↑ (1.5)	3.41 ↓ (3.85)	4.31 ↓ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Follonica Gavorrano
53.1%

Draw
26.2%

Sasso Marconi
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.4%

23.1%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Follonica Gavorrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Follonica Gavorrano's form might have worsened.

Sasso Marconi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Follonica Gavorrano - Sasso Marconi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
70', 2 - 0, ⚽,
72', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+4', 🟥,

Preview

Follonica Gavorrano could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Follonica Gavorrano carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Our forecast points to a victory for Follonica Gavorrano in today's match, at odds of 1.49.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Follonica Gavorrano	6	4	2	0	9:3	6	14
15	Sasso Marconi	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Follonica Gavorrano
Italian Serie D - Group E
20.09.26	San Donato Tavarnelle - Follonica Gavorrano	0:2 ✺
16.09.26	Follonica Gavorrano - Ghiviborgo	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Ternana - Follonica Gavorrano	1:1 ✺
06.09.26	Follonica Gavorrano - Grassina	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Follonica Gavorrano - Camaiore	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 WWTWW
- ASD Sasso Marconi 1924
Italian Serie D - Group E
20.09.26	Sasso Marconi - Prato	0:1 ✺
16.09.26	Flaminia Civita Castellana - Sasso Marconi	2:2 ✺
13.09.26	Sasso Marconi - San Donato Tavarnelle	1:3 ✺
Italian Serie D - Group D
10.05.26	Imolese - Sasso Marconi	0:2 ET ✺
03.05.26	Progresso - Sasso Marconi	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 LTLWL

Upcoming Matches