Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group D - Round 27

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Sasso Marconi		San Marino Calcio

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.95	2.87
	2.34	3	2.95
	2.31	2.92	2.91
	2.34	3.1	2.95
	2.33	2.98	2.99
	2.34	3	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.27)	2.99 ↓ (3.1)	2.94 (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sasso Marconi
38.9%

Draw
30.3%

San Marino Calcio
30.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

39.9%

29.2%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

28.3%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sasso Marconi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

The chances for San Marino Calcio have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sasso Marconi than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marino Calcio than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Sasso Marconi - San Marino Calcio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Balleello D. ⚽,
39', 1 - 1, (Own goal),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 2 - 1, Geroni E. ⚽,
63', 3 - 1, Montanaro P. ⚽,
81', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).

Sasso Marconi is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches San Marino is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

San Marino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Sasso Marconi 1924
Italian Serie D - Group D
02.03.25	Pistoiese - Sasso Marconi	3:1 ✺
23.02.25	Sasso Marconi - Piacenza	0:1 ✺
16.02.25	Sasso Marconi - Tuttocuoio	0:2 ✺
09.02.25	Sammaurese - Sasso Marconi	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Sasso Marconi - Ravenna	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLLWL
- San Marino Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
23.02.25	Prato - San Marino Calcio	0:2 ✺
16.02.25	San Marino Calcio - Progresso	0:1 ✺
09.02.25	Lentigione - San Marino Calcio	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	San Marino Calcio - Cittadella Vis Modena	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Fiorenzuola - San Marino Calcio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.1 WLTLT

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ASD Sasso Marconi 1924
Coppa Italia Serie D
28.10.26	Piacenza - Sasso Marconi	✺

Sasso Marconi - San Marino Calcio