Match Info

ITALY: Serie D - Group D - Round 24

Date: 16 February 2025, Sunday


	San Marino Calcio		Progresso

	1	X	2
	2.37	3	2.9
	2.25	2.88	3.19
	2.33	3.05	3.03
	2.4	3	2.75
	2.26	2.95	3.15
	2.37	3	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↓ (2.44)	2.98 ↑ (2.98)	2.99 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Marino Calcio
39%

Draw
30.5%

Progresso
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

30.4%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

31.1%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Marino Calcio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Progresso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Marino Calcio than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progresso than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

San Marino Calcio - Progresso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 0 - 1, Finessi J. ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: ) and 11).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches San Marino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Marino Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
09.02.25	Lentigione - San Marino Calcio	1:1 ✺
02.02.25	San Marino Calcio - Cittadella Vis Modena	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Fiorenzuola - San Marino Calcio	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	San Marino Calcio - Corticella	1:0 ✺
12.01.25	Zenith Prato - San Marino Calcio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.2 TLTWW
- SCD Progresso Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group D
09.02.25	Progresso - United Riccione	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Piacenza - Progresso	0:1 ✺
26.01.25	Progresso - Imolese	0:0 ✺
19.01.25	Pistoiese - Progresso	3:0 ✺
12.01.25	Progresso - Tuttocuoio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
30.10.24	Progresso - San Marino Calcio	1:0

San Marino Calcio - Progresso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide