Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL 2 - GROUP 3 - PROMOTION GROUP - ROUND 30

Date: 15 May 2023, Monday

Location: Stadion Saturn (Ramenskoye)


	Saturn Ramenskoye		Dynamo Bryansk

	1	X	2
	4.84	3.5	1.67
	4.9	4.3	1.49
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.87 ↓ (5.38)	3.9 ↓ (4.2)	1.58 ↑ (1.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Saturn Ramenskoye
18.8%

Draw
23.4%

Dynamo Bryansk
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17%

21.7%

61.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.4%

21%

63.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Saturn Ramenskoye has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Dynamo Bryansk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saturn Ramenskoye than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Bryansk than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dynamo Bryansk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 10 and 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Saturn won 2.

Saturn is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Dynamo Bryansk is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Dynamo Bryansk is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Saturn won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Saturn won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Saturn Ramenskoye
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
10.05.23	Saturn Ramenskoye - Sakhalinets Moscow	1:2 ✺
05.05.23	Saturn Ramenskoye - Rodina Moscow 2	0:1 ✺
29.04.23	Avangard Kursk - Saturn Ramenskoye	3:0 ✺
15.04.23	Dynamo Bryansk - Saturn Ramenskoye	0:1 ✺
08.04.23	Sakhalinets Moscow - Saturn Ramenskoye	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LLLWT
- Dynamo Bryansk
Russian FNL 2 Group 3
10.05.23	Dynamo Vladivostok - Dynamo Bryansk	1:0 ✺
05.05.23	Kaluga - Dynamo Bryansk	0:2 ✺
29.04.23	Dynamo Bryansk - Kosmos Dolgoprudny	1:0 ✺
15.04.23	Dynamo Bryansk - Saturn Ramenskoye	0:1 ✺
08.04.23	Dynamo Bryansk - Dynamo Vladivostok	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL 2 Group 3
15.04.23	Dynamo Bryansk - Saturn Ramenskoye	0:1
Russian PFL Center
21.09.19	Saturn Ramenskoye - Dynamo Bryansk	0:2
26.04.19	Saturn Ramenskoye - Dynamo Bryansk	1:3
Club Friendly
26.03.19	Dynamo Bryansk - Saturn Ramenskoye	0:2
Russian PFL Center
15.09.18	Dynamo Bryansk - Saturn Ramenskoye	0:0
27.05.18	Dynamo Bryansk - Saturn Ramenskoye	1:2
19.07.17	Saturn Ramenskoye - Dynamo Bryansk	2:1

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