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Current Win Probability
Kaluga 30.9%
Draw 30.1%
Dynamo Bryansk 39%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.5%
30.1%
39.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30%
29.6%
40.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kaluga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
Dynamo Bryansk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaluga than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Bryansk than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Kaluga - Dynamo Bryansk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Eshchenko S. (G) 77. Balashov K. 14. Chibisov S. 33. Daliev D. 10. Grishchenko I. 2. Krotov S. 19. Kuzin N. Y. 78. Mukhin E. 27. Muminov I. 37. Shevchenko D. 32. Sokolov I.
1. Akmurzin T. (G) 6. Alekhin N. 2. Golovachev R. 19. Gribov S. 4. Osokin D. 20. Pikatov D. 21. Rapakov I. 18. Shalaev O. 32. Terekhov S. 8. Teterlev E. 17. Volovich K.
Substitutes
7. Akimov E. 11. Balkizov A. 18. Ivanushkin L. 8. Klishchenko D. 91. Lukinykh E. 94. Nadolskiy A. 31. Pervakov N. 59. Sherstobitov D. 17. Sychev Y. 88. Tashaev R. (G)
13. Ermakov A. A. (G) 30. Khalilov M. 24. Kondrashov V. 11. Konoplev D. 3. Mankov N. 12. Medvedev A. 15. Novikov A. 9. Solovyov I. 25. Topinka S. 29. Tsybrov B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Pikatov D. ⚽,
45+1', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Krotov S. 🟨,
71', Eshchenko S. 🟨,
71', Kondrashov V. 🟨,
74', 🟨,
90+2', Daliev D. 🟨,
90+2', Akmurzin T. 🟨,
90+6', 🟥,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Silver (Spring Season: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ FNL 2 ~ Division A Gold (Spring Season: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaluga won 1.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Kaluga won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:32. (average 0.7:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Kaluga won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1:1.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
D. Bryansk
12
4
4
4
11:15
-4
16
10
Kaluga
12
0
6
6
6:16
-10
6
Last Results with these Odds
Kaluga - the odds 2.98 are the expected chance of winning is 30.47%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Dynamo Bryansk - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.47%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.