Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga West - Round 9

Date: 28 September 2024, Saturday


	Schalke 04 II		Duisburg

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.5	1.43
	5.5	4.5	1.47
	5.75	4.55	1.47
	5.78	4.28	1.47
	5.73	4.35	1.44
	5.5	4.5	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.59 ↑ (3.97)	4.45 ↑ (3.75)	1.46 ↓ (1.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schalke 04 II
16.4%

Draw
20.6%

Duisburg
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

24.5%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.1%

24.5%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schalke 04 II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Schalke 04 II's form might have worsened.

Duisburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Duisburg's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schalke 04 II than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Schalke 04 II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Duisburg than the current prediction. (-10.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Duisburg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Schalke 04 II - Duisburg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Rupil T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
68', 1 - 1, Muller L. ⚽,
90+9', 1 - 2, Fleckstein T. ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 3).

Schalke 04 II has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Duisburg is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Schalke 04 II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Duisburg is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Duisburg to win the game is with odds 1.48.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Schalke 04 II
German Regionalliga West
20.09.24	Wuppertal - Schalke 04 II	1:0 ✺
14.09.24	Schalke 04 II - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Köln II - Schalke 04 II	4:0 ✺
24.08.24	Schalke 04 II - Düren	1:4 ✺
17.08.24	Bocholt - Schalke 04 II	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- MSV Duisburg
German Regionalliga West
21.09.24	Duisburg - Wiedenbrück	3:1 ✺
14.09.24	Fortuna Köln - Duisburg	0:0 ✺
30.08.24	Duisburg - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	2:2 ✺
23.08.24	Paderborn II - Duisburg	2:1 ✺
16.08.24	Duisburg - Eintracht Hohkeppel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WTTLW

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