Match Info

GERMANY: Oberliga Westfalen - Round 33

Date: 20 May 2024, Monday


	Schermbeck 2020		Sportfreunde Lotte

	1	X	2
	9	6	1.22
	8.61	6.78	1.22
	8.61	6.78	1.22
	9.5	5.8	1.17
	9.7	6.32	1.2
	9	6	1.22
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.07 ↑ (6.24)	6.28 ↑ (5)	1.21 ↓ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schermbeck 2020
10%

Draw
14.5%

Sportfreunde Lotte
75.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.5%

18.1%

67.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.4%

18%

67.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schermbeck 2020 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Sportfreunde Lotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportfreunde Lotte's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schermbeck 2020 than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportfreunde Lotte than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportfreunde Lotte, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Schermbeck 2020 - Sportfreunde Lotte Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, Mensah J. ⚽,
28', 1 - 1, Lobler H. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
51', 1 - 2, Nyuydine B. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 9 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga West).

Schermbeck 2020 is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

SF Lotte is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match SF Lotte is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Schermbeck 2020 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Schermbeck 2020 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SV Schermbeck 2020
German Oberliga Westfalen
12.05.24	Preußen Münster 2 - Schermbeck 2020	5:1 ✺
05.05.24	Schermbeck 2020 - TSG Sprockhövel	3:0 ✺
28.04.24	Siegen - Schermbeck 2020	4:0 ✺
19.04.24	Schermbeck 2020 - Erkenschwick	0:4 ✺
14.04.24	SG Wattenscheid - Schermbeck 2020	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLL
- Sportfreunde Lotte
German Oberliga Westfalen
12.05.24	Sportfreunde Lotte - Bövinghausen	7:0 ✺
03.05.24	Sportfreunde Lotte - Preußen Münster 2	1:3 ✺
26.04.24	TSG Sprockhövel - Sportfreunde Lotte	0:1 ✺
21.04.24	Sportfreunde Lotte - Siegen	3:1 ✺
14.04.24	Erkenschwick - Sportfreunde Lotte	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Westfalen
01.12.23	Sportfreunde Lotte - Schermbeck 2020	2:3
16.04.23	Sportfreunde Lotte - Schermbeck 2020	1:0
21.10.22	Schermbeck 2020 - Sportfreunde Lotte	2:0

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