Match Info

Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 7

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Schott Mainz		Hessen Kassel

	1	X	2
	3.65	3.75	1.8
	2.72	3.65	2.25
	3.54	3.84	1.8
	2.84	3.95	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 ↑ (2.73)	3.8 ↓ (4.2)	1.97 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schott Mainz
28.9%

Draw
24.3%

Hessen Kassel
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

21.8%

44.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

21.6%

45%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schott Mainz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Hessen Kassel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schott Mainz than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hessen Kassel than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Schott Mainz - Hessen Kassel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Itoi T. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Stark Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
75', 1 - 2, Springfeld M. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 13)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Schott Mainz won 2.

Recent form of Schott Mainz has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Hessen Kassel has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Hessen Kassel will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Schott Mainz won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Schott Mainz won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- TSV Schott Mainz
German Regionalliga Sudwest
07.09.25	Freiburg II - Schott Mainz	3:3 ✺
30.08.25	FSV Frankfurt - Schott Mainz	2:2 ✺
23.08.25	Schott Mainz - Barockstadt Fulda-Lehnerz	2:4 ✺
16.08.25	Freiberg - Schott Mainz	4:0 ✺
09.08.25	Schott Mainz - Bahlinger	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TTLLL
- Hessen Kassel
German Regionalliga Sudwest
06.09.25	Hessen Kassel - Sonnenhof Großaspach	2:2 ✺
30.08.25	Bayern Alzenau - Hessen Kassel	2:2 ✺
22.08.25	Hessen Kassel - FSV Frankfurt	0:1 ✺
09.08.25	Hessen Kassel - Mainz II	3:0 ✺
02.08.25	Homburg - Hessen Kassel	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTLWT

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Sudwest
23.03.24	Hessen Kassel - Schott Mainz	0:0
17.09.23	Schott Mainz - Hessen Kassel	0:5
09.04.22	Schott Mainz - Hessen Kassel	2:1
23.10.21	Hessen Kassel - Schott Mainz	2:0
09.03.21	Schott Mainz - Hessen Kassel	1:0
12.09.20	Hessen Kassel - Schott Mainz	2:1
10.02.18	Schott Mainz - Hessen Kassel	4:1

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