Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA NIEDERRHEIN - ROUND 35

Date: 23 April 2023, Sunday


	Schwarz-Weiß Essen		Velbert

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	1.89
	3.72	3.95	1.82
	3.56	3.82	1.84
	3.6	4	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.5 ↑ (3.05)	3.82 ↓ (3.85)	1.84 ↓ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schwarz-Weiß Essen
26.2%

Draw
24%

Velbert
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.1%

23.9%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

23.3%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schwarz-Weiß Essen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Velbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Schwarz-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Velbert than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Schwarz Weiß Essen - Velbert Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Regionalliga West).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Schwarz-Weiß Essen won 3.

Recent matches Schwarz-Weiß Essen is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Velbert is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Velbert could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Velbert will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Schwarz-Weiß Essen won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 11-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Schwarz-Weiß Essen won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Schwarz-Weiß Essen
German Oberliga Niederrhein
19.04.23	Schwarz-Weiß Essen - Baumberg	1:1 ✺
15.04.23	Uerdingen - Schwarz-Weiß Essen	4:4 ✺
10.04.23	Schwarz-Weiß Essen - St Tonis	3:0 ✺
02.04.23	Union Nettetal - Schwarz-Weiß Essen	3:4 ✺
22.03.23	TVD Velbert - Schwarz-Weiß Essen	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TTWWL
- SSVg Velbert
German Oberliga Niederrhein
14.04.23	Velbert - Homberg	2:2 ✺
06.04.23	Meerbusch - Velbert	1:3 ✺
26.03.23	Velbert - Uerdingen	0:1 ✺
22.03.23	St Tonis - Velbert	1:3 ✺
17.03.23	Velbert - Union Nettetal	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Niederrhein
15.10.22	Velbert - Schwarz-Weiß Essen	2:1
28.05.22	Schwarz-Weiß Essen - Velbert	1:0
15.10.21	Velbert - Schwarz-Weiß Essen	5:2
09.02.20	Schwarz-Weiß Essen - Velbert	Canceled
17.08.19	Velbert - Schwarz-Weiß Essen	1:3
14.04.19	Velbert - Schwarz-Weiß Essen	1:1
24.11.18	Schwarz-Weiß Essen - Velbert	3:2

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