Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Bayern - Round 6

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday


	Schweinfurt		Greuther Fürth II

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.75	3.6
	1.75	3.75	4
	1.75	4.29	3.7
	1.71	4.17	3.78
	1.73	3.92	3.79
	1.75	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (2.18)	3.94 ↑ (3.58)	3.81 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Schweinfurt
52.8%

Draw
23.2%

Greuther Fürth II
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

25.5%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

24.1%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Schweinfurt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Schweinfurt's performance.

Greuther Fürth II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Greuther Fürth II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schweinfurt than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Schweinfurt that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Greuther Fürth II than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Greuther Fürth II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Schweinfurt - Greuther Fürth II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
68', 1 - 0, Muller S. ⚽,
82', 1 - 1, Aydin K. ⚽,
86', 2 - 1, Thomann M. ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Schweinfurt won 3.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Schweinfurt could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Schweinfurt will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Schweinfurt won 11 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 37-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Schweinfurt won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 22-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Schweinfurt 05
German Regionalliga Bayern
16.08.24	Bayreuth - Schweinfurt	0:1 ✺
10.08.24	Eintracht Bamberg - Schweinfurt	2:1 ✺
02.08.24	Schweinfurt - Buchbach	3:1 ✺
26.07.24	Hankofen-Hailing - Schweinfurt	1:3 ✺
19.07.24	Schweinfurt - Aubstadt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WLWWW
- Greuther Fürth II
German Regionalliga Bayern
17.08.24	Greuther Fürth II - Eintracht Bamberg	2:2 ✺
09.08.24	Buchbach - Greuther Fürth II	1:4 ✺
03.08.24	Greuther Fürth II - Hankofen-Hailing	3:0 ✺
26.07.24	Aubstadt - Greuther Fürth II	1:3 ✺
20.07.24	Greuther Fürth II - Augsburg II	2:6 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Bayern
12.03.24	Greuther Fürth II - Schweinfurt	2:0
19.08.23	Schweinfurt - Greuther Fürth II	4:0
11.03.23	Greuther Fürth II - Schweinfurt	2:2
23.08.22	Schweinfurt - Greuther Fürth II	1:0
23.11.21	Schweinfurt - Greuther Fürth II	3:1
27.07.21	Greuther Fürth II - Schweinfurt	1:4
09.11.19	Schweinfurt - Greuther Fürth II	1:0

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