Match Info

Date: 21 February 2022, Monday


	Sebeta City		Bahir Dar Kenema

	1	X	2
	3.25	2.9	2.1
	4.05	2.9	1.9
	3.9	2.95	1.87
	3.13	3.03	2.17
	4.18	2.7	2.08	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (2.83)	2.9 ↑ (2.67)	2.02 ↓ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebeta City
24.3%

Draw
31.1%

Bahir Dar Kenema
44.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.7%

32.6%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.8%

23.1%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebeta City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebeta City's form might have worsened.

Bahir Dar Kenema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bahir Dar Kenema's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebeta City than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bahir Dar Kenema could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sebeta City - Bahir Dar Kenema Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 and 6).

Sebeta City has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bahir Dar is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bahir Dar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sebeta City won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Sebeta City won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebeta City FC
Ethiopian Premier League
15.02.22	Sebeta City - Addis Ababa Ketema	1:5 ✺
09.02.22	Hadiya Hossana - Sebeta City	1:0 ✺
04.02.22	Fasil Kenema - Sebeta City	3:0 ✺
30.01.22	Sebeta City - Adama City	1:2 ✺
23.12.21	Sebeta City - Wolkite Kenema	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Bahir Dar Kenema
Ethiopian Premier League
16.02.22	Dire Dawa City - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:0 ✺
10.02.22	Bahir Dar Kenema - Hawassa City	2:0 ✺
03.02.22	Bahir Dar Kenema - Saint George	0:2 ✺
28.01.22	Sidama Coffee - Bahir Dar Kenema	2:1 ✺
24.12.21	Adama City - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
26.04.21	Bahir Dar Kenema - Sebeta City	1:2
19.01.21	Sebeta City - Bahir Dar Kenema	1:4

Sebeta City - Bahir Dar Kenema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide