Match Info
Premier League - Round 32Date: 15 May 2026, Friday
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Dire Dawa City |
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Bahir Dar Kenema |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
3.65 |
2.58 |
2.2 |
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 |
4.01 |
2.42 |
2.35 |
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3.4 |
2.6 |
2.2 |
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3.65 |
2.81 |
2.12 |
 Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.68 ↓
(3.86) |
2.6 ↓
(2.8) |
2.22 ↑
(2.12) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
- The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Dire Dawa City
24.6% | Draw
34.7% | Bahir Dar Kenema
40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dire Dawa City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)Bahir Dar Kenema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dire Dawa City than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bahir Dar Kenema than the current prediction. (+3.8%)Dire Dawa City - Bahir Dar Kenema Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 45+4', 0 - 1, Fithalew F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 59', 0 - 2, Tefera A. ⚽,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 9).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dire Dawa won 1.Dire Dawa is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).Bahir Dar's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Dire Dawa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. Bahir Dar is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Dire Dawa won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:12. (average 0.6:1.1).Including home matches between the teams, Dire Dawa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.8:1.4).
Standings
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 11 | Bahir Dar Kenema | 38 | 9 | 21 | 8 | 28:28 | 0 | 48 |
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| 18 | Dire Dawa | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 27:41 | -14 | 42 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Bahir Dar Kenema - the odds 2.12 are the expected chance of winning is 43.36%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Ethiopian Premier League | | | 05.01.26 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Dire Dawa City | 0:0 | | 24.05.25 | Dire Dawa City - Bahir Dar Kenema | 2:1 | | 04.01.25 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Dire Dawa City | 1:1 | | 02.05.24 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Dire Dawa City | 1:0 | | 15.12.23 | Dire Dawa City - Bahir Dar Kenema | 1:2 | | 14.04.23 | Dire Dawa City - Bahir Dar Kenema | 1:3 | | 19.10.22 | Bahir Dar Kenema - Dire Dawa City | 1:1 |
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