Match Info

Date: 12 October 2022, Wednesday

Location: Stade Louis Dugauguez (Sedan)


	Sedan		Orleans

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.6
	2	2.95	3.65
	2.01	3.15	3.6
	2.05	3.2	4.09
	2	2.9	3.8
	1.91	3.28	3.86	Watch
	2	3.25	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.51)	3.1 ↑ (2.98)	3.76 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sedan
46.1%

Draw
29.5%

Orleans
24.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.5%

30.7%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1%

30.2%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sedan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sedan's performance.

Orleans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orleans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sedan than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sedan that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orleans than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orleans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
48.1%	40.7%	11.1%

Sedan - Orleans Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Sedan will win (votes: 13 - 48.1%). Orleans will win (votes: 3 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 40.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sedan: 29.3% – 66.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 5).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sedan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Sedan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sedan
French Ligue 3
30.09.22	Bourg-Péronnas - Sedan	1:3 ✺
23.09.22	Sedan - Le Puy	0:0 ✺
16.09.22	Martigues - Sedan	1:1 ✺
09.09.22	Sedan - Avranches	0:1 ✺
05.09.22	Paris 13 Atletico - Sedan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WTTLT
- US Orleans
French Ligue 3
30.09.22	Orleans - Villefranche	1:1 ✺
23.09.22	Stade Briochin - Orleans	1:1 ✺
16.09.22	Orleans - Châteauroux	1:1 ✺
09.09.22	Cholet - Orleans	1:1 ✺
02.09.22	Orleans - Versailles	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
06.05.22	Sedan - Orleans	1:0
25.01.22	Orleans - Sedan	4:2
11.03.16	Sedan - Orleans	1:2
25.09.15	Orleans - Sedan	1:0

Sedan - Orleans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide