Match Info

ISRAEL: LIGAT HA'AL - RELEGATION GROUP - ROUND 33

Date: 13 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Ness Ziona Stadium (Ness Ziona)

Referee: Rohrush M. (Isr)


	Sektzia Nes Tziona		Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.5	2.6	Watch
	2.5	3.3	2.5
	2.63	3.45	2.35
	2.51	3.53	2.76
	2.49	3.44	2.61
	2.5	3.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (3.28)	3.45 ↑ (3.4)	2.56 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sektzia Nes Tziona
37.2%

Draw
26.8%

Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

27.4%

44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

26.7%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sektzia Nes Tziona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sektzia Nes Tziona's performance.

Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sektzia Nes Tziona than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sektzia Nes Tziona that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sektzia Nes Tziona will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Bnei Sakhnin will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sektzia Nes Tziona: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Sektzia Nes Tziona is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Bnei Sakhnin is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bnei Sakhnin will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sektzia Nes Tziona won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sektzia Nes Tziona won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sektzia Nes Tziona
Israeli Ligat haAl
06.05.23	Hapoel Haifa - Sektzia Nes Tziona	0:1 ✺
29.04.23	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Beitar Jerusalem	1:3 ✺
22.04.23	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Sektzia Nes Tziona	1:1 ✺
15.04.23	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Maccabi Bnei Raina	1:2 ✺
01.04.23	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Sektzia Nes Tziona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WLTLL
- Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin
Israeli Ligat haAl
06.05.23	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Hapoel Hadera	2:3 ✺
30.04.23	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Hapoel Tel Aviv	0:1 ✺
22.04.23	Hapoel Haifa - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	2:2 ✺
16.04.23	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Beitar Jerusalem	4:3 ✺
02.04.23	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Ligat haAl
21.01.23	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	0:0
02.10.22	Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin - Sektzia Nes Tziona	2:0
Israeli State Cup
04.01.18	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	2:0
26.01.16	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	0:1 penalties

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