Match Info

ISRAEL: LIGAT HA'AL - ROUND 17

Date: 8 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Ness Ziona Stadium (Ness Ziona)

Referee: Levi S. (Isr)


	Sektzia Nes Tziona		Maccabi Haifa

	1	X	2
	12	5.5	1.2
	9.5	6.5	1.21
	10	6.25	1.2
	10	6	1.19
	11.54	6.5	1.23
	11.5	6.55	1.19	Watch
	11	6.4	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.79 ↑ (7.3)	6.24 ↑ (4.75)	1.2 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sektzia Nes Tziona
8.5%

Draw
14.8%

Maccabi Haifa
76.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.4%

19.1%

68.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.3%

18.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sektzia Nes Tziona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Maccabi Haifa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maccabi Haifa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sektzia Nes Tziona than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maccabi Haifa than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maccabi Haifa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	9.1%	81.8%

Sektzia Nes Tziona - Maccabi Haifa Predictions

Users Predictions: Maccabi Haifa will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)).

Recent matches Sektzia Nes Tziona is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Maccabi Haifa is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sektzia Nes Tziona could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Maccabi Haifa is indisputable favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sektzia Nes Tziona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Sektzia Nes Tziona won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sektzia Nes Tziona
Israeli State Cup
04.01.23	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Maccabi Petah Tikva	1:2 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
31.12.22	Beitar Jerusalem - Sektzia Nes Tziona	3:2 ✺
24.12.22	Sektzia Nes Tziona - MS Ashdod	2:0 ✺
19.12.22	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Sektzia Nes Tziona	3:3 ✺
Israeli State Cup
12.12.22	Hapoel Acre - Sektzia Nes Tziona	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 LLWTW
- Maccabi Haifa FC
Israeli State Cup
04.01.23	Maccabi Haifa - Hapoel Haifa	5:1 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
01.01.23	Maccabi Haifa - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2:0 ✺
26.12.22	Maccabi Netanya - Maccabi Haifa	0:2 ✺
19.12.22	Maccabi Haifa - Hapoel Bnei Sakhnin	3:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
12.12.22	Hapoel Nof HaGalil - Maccabi Haifa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Ligat haAl
10.09.22	Maccabi Haifa - Sektzia Nes Tziona	3:1
18.01.20	Maccabi Haifa - Sektzia Nes Tziona	4:0
Israeli State Cup
21.12.19	Maccabi Haifa - Sektzia Nes Tziona	3:1 ET
Israeli Ligat haAl
05.10.19	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Maccabi Haifa	0:3

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