Match Info

ISRAEL: LIGAT HA'AL - ROUND 15

Date: 24 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Ness Ziona Stadium (Ness Ziona)

Referee: Rushrush M. (Isr)


	Sektzia Nes Tziona		MS Ashdod

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.75	1.85
	3.3	3.6	1.93
	3.65	3.45	1.89
	3.3	3.6	1.92
	3.77	3.84	1.93
	3.64	3.64	1.88
	3.35	3.7	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.47 ↓ (3.58)	3.65 ↑ (3.49)	1.91 ↑ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sektzia Nes Tziona
26.5%

Draw
25.2%

MS Ashdod
48.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

26.2%

48.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

21.2%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sektzia Nes Tziona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

MS Ashdod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sektzia Nes Tziona than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sektzia Nes Tziona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for MS Ashdod than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for MS Ashdod, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	53.8%	30.8%

Sektzia Nes Tziona - MS Ashdod Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Sektzia Nes Tziona will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Ashdod will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 13 in the zone Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sektzia Nes Tziona won 1.

Sektzia Nes Tziona is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ashdod is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Ashdod have a series of home games.

Ashdod will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Sektzia Nes Tziona won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Sektzia Nes Tziona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sektzia Nes Tziona
Israeli Ligat haAl
19.12.22	Ironi Kiryat Shmona - Sektzia Nes Tziona	3:3 ✺
Israeli State Cup
12.12.22	Hapoel Acre - Sektzia Nes Tziona	2:3 ✺
Israeli Toto Cup
07.12.22	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Hapoel Haifa	5:4 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
12.11.22	Hapoel Hadera - Sektzia Nes Tziona	0:0 ✺
09.11.22	Sektzia Nes Tziona - Maccabi Bnei Raina	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TWWTT
- MS Ashdod
Israeli Ligat haAl
17.12.22	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Beer Sheva	0:1 ✺
Israeli State Cup
12.12.22	MS Ashdod - Hapoel Beer Sheva	2:1 ✺
Israeli Toto Cup
08.12.22	MS Ashdod - Maccabi Bnei Raina	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.11.22	PAOK - MS Ashdod	4:1 ✺
Israeli Ligat haAl
12.11.22	MS Ashdod - Maccabi Netanya	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Israeli Ligat haAl
27.08.22	MS Ashdod - Sektzia Nes Tziona	1:0
Israeli Toto Cup
03.08.22	Sektzia Nes Tziona - MS Ashdod	1:0
Israeli Ligat haAl
13.06.20	MS Ashdod - Sektzia Nes Tziona	2:0
04.02.20	Sektzia Nes Tziona - MS Ashdod	0:2
03.11.19	MS Ashdod - Sektzia Nes Tziona	2:2
Israeli Toto Cup
03.08.19	MS Ashdod - Sektzia Nes Tziona	1:1

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