Match Info

Championship - Round 1

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Gelora Sriwijaya Jakabaring (Palembang)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	Sumsel United		PSMS Medan

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.10	2.80
	2.25	3.05	2.85
	2.08	3.31	2.93
	2.15	3.42	3.03	Watch
	2.03	3.2	2.85
	1.7	3.44	4.49
	2.25	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.77)	3.23 ↓ (3.4)	3.11 ↓ (4.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sumsel United
43%

Draw
28%

PSMS Medan
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

27%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sumsel United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sumsel United's form might have worsened.

PSMS Medan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting PSMS Medan's recent form is better than expected.

Sumsel United - PSMS Medan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Akbar R. 97. Andrio P. 5. Atapelwa D. 7. Chrismato A. 55. Habiby W. 9. Hartono D. 78. Poru W. 27. Subhi A. 47. Trihardi M. 26. Vedhayanto K. 21. Zakaria	31. Quba F. (G) 4. Alhafiz H. 28. Alim A. 21. Chan I. 55. Gufron A. 99. Hidayat R. 16. Hutagalung A. 19. Putra P. 30. Ragil M. 15. Rangga M. 14. Utama R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', 0 - 1, Phillerson (Penalty Awarded),
30', 0 - 2, Siverio J. ⚽, Jauhari I. (A),
38', Gilberto 🟨,
41', Cahya A. ↓, Utama R. ↑,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Rizki R. ↓, Trihardi M. ↑,
46', Gilberto ↓, Hartono D. ↑,
46', Sokoy F. ↓, Poru W. ↑,
50', 1 - 2, Firdaus F. ⚽,
59', 2 - 2, Mochizuki H. ⚽,
61', Rajak R. 🟥,
62', Jauhari I. ↓, Natshir M. ↑,
67', Dimas R. 🟨,
78', Trihardi M. 🟨,
84', Firdaus F. ↓, Chrismato A. ↑,
84', Darmawan T. ↓, Zakaria ↑,
89', Simanjuntak S. ↓, Alhafiz H. ↑,
89', Nurviat R. ↓, Gufron A. ↑,
90', Pangestu T. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, Sumsel United is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sumsel United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Sumsel United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sumsel United
Indonesian Championship
02.05.26	Sumsel United - Persekat Tegal	3:1 ✺
18.04.26	Sumsel United - Persikad Depok	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Sumsel United - Adhyaksa Bekasi	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Persiraja Banda Aceh - Sumsel United	2:0 ✺
28.03.26	Isenmulang Kalteng - Sumsel United	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 WTTLL
- PSMS Medan
Indonesian President Cup
29.07.26	Persebaya Surabaya - PSMS Medan	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	PSMS Medan - Thai Port	0:2 ✺
Indonesian Championship
25.04.26	PSMS Medan - Isenmulang Kalteng	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Garudayaksa - PSMS Medan	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Persikad Depok - PSMS Medan	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Championship
14.02.26	PSMS Medan - Sumsel United	3:1
24.11.25	Sumsel United - PSMS Medan	2:1
28.09.25	PSMS Medan - Sumsel United	2:0

Sumsel United - PSMS Medan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide