Match Info

IRAN: Persian Gulf Pro League - Round 10

Date: 1 November 2024, Friday

Location: Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium (Isfahan)


	Sepahan		Aluminium Arak

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.6	6.25
	1.57	3.6	6
	1.62	3.14	5.8
	1.54	3.42	6.74	Watch
	1.44	3.6	7
	1.49	3.74	6.93	Watch
	1.57	3.6	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.76)	3.53 ↑ (3.3)	6.39 ↑ (4.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sepahan
59.7%

Draw
26%

Aluminium Arak
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

27.8%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

29.7%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sepahan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sepahan's performance.

Aluminium Arak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aluminium Arak might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sepahan than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aluminium Arak than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Sepahan - Aluminium Arak Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Mirzazad N. (G) 22. Hardani S. 66. Khanonov V. 55. Hazbavi M. 2. Mohammadi H. 21. Goudarzi H. 7. Limouchi M. 5. Asadi R. 80. Sarshogh A. 10. Shekari R. 11. Aghaeipour J.	1. Khalifeh M. (G) 2. Gharari E. 26. Norouzifard B. 15. Mousavi M. 70. Badragheh M. 83. Goudarzi B. 6. Haji Eidi A. 79. Lotfi M. 5. Noori A. 7. Jabireh R. 16. Jafari R.
Substitutes
58. Daneshgar M. 88. Habibi A. 29. Kamara A. 23. Mohebi M. 1. Niazmand P. (G) 15. N'Zonzi S. 77. Poriya R. (G) 9. Rezaei K. 14. Yousefi A.	9. Bozorg S. 88. Ghanbari A. 10. Jahan Kohan A. 69. Kazemian A. 11. Marzban R. 99. Mohebipour T. 22. Moradian E. (G) 41. Reykani T. 4. Soleimani A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Hardani S. 🟨,
37', Haji Eidi A. 🟨,
40', Gharari E. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Limouchi M. ⚽,
80', Gharari E. 🟨,
81', 🟨,
84', 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sepahan won 1.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Sepahan is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Sepahan won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:5 (average 1.3:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Sepahan won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sepahan FC
Iran Pro League
27.10.24	Foolad Khuzestan - Sepahan	2:2 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
22.10.24	Al-Sharjah - Sepahan	3:1 ✺
Iran Pro League
05.10.24	Esteghlal Khuzestan - Sepahan	0:1 ✺
AFC Champions League 2
01.10.24	Sepahan - Istiklol Dushanbe	4:0 ✺
Iran Pro League
27.09.24	Sepahan - Tractor Sazi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLWWL
- Aluminium Arak
Iran Pro League
27.10.24	Tractor Sazi - Aluminium Arak	2:0 ✺
20.10.24	Aluminium Arak - Foolad Khuzestan	4:2 ✺
04.10.24	Zob Ahan - Aluminium Arak	0:4 ✺
27.09.24	Aluminium Arak - Kheybar Khorramabad	1:0 ✺
20.09.24	Persepolis - Aluminium Arak	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Iran Pro League
28.05.24	Aluminium Arak - Sepahan	0:1
24.12.23	Sepahan - Aluminium Arak	0:1
28.02.23	Aluminium Arak - Sepahan	1:1
10.09.22	Sepahan - Aluminium Arak	0:0
02.06.22	Sepahan - Aluminium Arak	1:1
13.01.22	Aluminium Arak - Sepahan	0:0
06.03.21	Aluminium Arak - Sepahan	1:6

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