Match Info

Date: 4 August 2022, Thursday

Location: Stadionul Sepsi (Sfantu Gheorghe)

Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)


	Sepsi OSK		Djurgården

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.3
	3	3	2.35
	2.88	3.15	2.6
	2.9	3.15	2.45
	2.86	3.11	2.68
	2.88	3.14	2.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↑ (2.65)	3.13 ↓ (3.3)	2.47 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sepsi OSK
32.4%

Draw
29.8%

Djurgården
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

28.8%

35.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

32.1%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sepsi OSK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Djurgården has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sepsi OSK than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sepsi OSK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Djurgården than the current prediction. (-6.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Djurgården, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	20.4%	68.5%

Sepsi OSK - Djurgården Predictions

Users Predictions: 54 users predict this event. Sepsi will win (votes: 6 - 11.1%). Djurgården will win (votes: 37 - 68.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 20.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Djurgården: 56.1% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Sepsi is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Djurgården in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sepsi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- ACS Sepsi OSK Sfântu Gheorghe
Romanian SuperLiga
31.07.22	Petrolul Ploieşti - Sepsi OSK	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.07.22	Olimpija Ljubljana - Sepsi OSK	2:1 penalties ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
24.07.22	Sepsi OSK - Argeș Pitești	4:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.07.22	Sepsi OSK - Olimpija Ljubljana	3:1 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
15.07.22	Universitatea Craiova - Sepsi OSK	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLWWT
- Djurgårdens IF
UEFA Europa Conference League
28.07.22	Djurgården - Rijeka	2:0 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
24.07.22	Häcken - Djurgården	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.07.22	Rijeka - Djurgården	1:2 ✺
Swedish Allsvenskan
16.07.22	Djurgården - Värnamo	5:0 ✺
11.07.22	Helsingborg - Djurgården	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 WWWWW

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