Match Info

Date: 21 July 2022, Thursday

Location: Stadion HNK Rijeka (Rijeka)

Referee: Ciochirca P. (Aut)


	Rijeka		Djurgården

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.62
	2.5	3.1	2.75
	2.45	3.25	2.8
	2.45	3.15	2.75
	2.65	2.95	2.88
	2.53	3.1	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.52 ↑ (1.84)	3.11 ↓ (3.55)	2.76 ↓ (3.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rijeka
36.7%

Draw
29.8%

Djurgården
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.5%

26.2%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

27.4%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rijeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rijeka's form might have worsened.

Djurgården has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Djurgården's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijeka than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rijeka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Djurgården than the current prediction. (-11.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Djurgården, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.5%	27.9%	25.6%

Rijeka - Djurgården Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Rijeka will win (votes: 20 - 46.5%). Djurgården will win (votes: 11 - 25.6%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 27.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rijeka: 31.6% – 61.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Rijeka is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Djurgården is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Rijeka have a series of guest games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Rijeka won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- HNK Rijeka
Croatian HNL
16.07.22	Šibenik - Rijeka	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.07.22	Rijeka - Koper	1:2 ✺
06.07.22	Sparta Prague - Rijeka	2:0 ✺
05.07.22	Triglav - Rijeka	1:5 ✺
01.07.22	NK Bravo - Rijeka	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLLWT
- Djurgårdens IF
Swedish Allsvenskan
16.07.22	Djurgården - Värnamo	5:0 ✺
11.07.22	Helsingborg - Djurgården	0:2 ✺
03.07.22	Djurgården - Hammarby	1:0 ✺
26.06.22	Sundsvall - Djurgården	2:5 ✺
Club Friendly
17.06.22	Sirius - Djurgården	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Atlantic Cup
04.02.17	Djurgården - Rijeka	0:1

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