Match Info

Date: 6 April 2022, Wednesday


	Septemvri Simitli		Septemvri Sofia

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.55	1.66
	4.56	3.84	1.67
	4.95	3.54	1.66	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.64 ↑ (3.32)	3.64 ↑ (3.12)	1.66 ↓ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Septemvri Simitli
19.8%

Draw
25.1%

Septemvri Sofia
55.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

29.5%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.8%

28.7%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Septemvri Simitli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Septemvri Simitli's form might have worsened.

Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Septemvri Sofia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Septemvri Simitli than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Septemvri Simitli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Septemvri Sofia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga (Promotion)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Septemvri Sofia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Septemvri Sofia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Septemvri Simitli won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Septemvri Simitli
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
02.04.22	Strumska Slava Radomir - Septemvri Simitli	0:1 ✺
14.03.22	Montana - Septemvri Simitli	1:1 ✺
10.03.22	Septemvri Simitli - Sportist Svoge	0:1 ✺
06.03.22	Botev Plovdiv II - Septemvri Simitli	1:1 ✺
26.02.22	Septemvri Simitli - Sozopol	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTLTW
- Septemvri Sofia
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
02.04.22	Septemvri Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
30.03.22	Levski Sofia - Septemvri Sofia	3:2
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
18.03.22	Ludogorets II - Septemvri Sofia	2:1 ✺
13.03.22	Septemvri Sofia - Levski Lom	3:0 ✺
09.03.22	Dobrudzha Dobrich - Septemvri Sofia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
26.09.21	Septemvri Sofia - Septemvri Simitli	7:0

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