The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Septemvri Sofia 43.8%
Draw 28.9%
Dunav Ruse 27.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
42.1%
30.2%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.4%
26.1%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
Dunav Ruse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Septemvri Sofia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dunav Ruse than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
40%
40%
20%
Septemvri Sofia - Dunav Ruse Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Dunav Ruse will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Ivanov Vladimir (G) 8. Penchev B. 26. Ozornwafor V. 4. Hristov M. 15. Gospodinov P. 5. Baurenski Y. 6. Ferreira P. 29. Herard F. 33. Ivanov G. 19. Pedro Igor 27. Liberal A.
33. Kitanov G. (G) 39. Alves A. 4. Cabarcas Perez J. C. 5. Antoniou K. 51. Budinov I. 14. Apostolov R. 10. Boychev K. 17. Fonkeu W. 88. Todorov D. 9. Valino A. 23. Saint-Louis J.
Substitutes
24. Atanasov Z. A. 21. Dimitrov V. (G) 30. Dobrev V. 11. Dzhamov A. 17. Fontaine N. 10. Iliev N. 16. Mihaylov V. 28. Stoichkov S. 20. Tomovski B. 2. Vulikic S. 14. Vutov A.
93. Corbadzijski B. 2. Dilchovski M. 24. Gavrilov S. 18. Keita I. 77. Simeonov A. 78. Sou E. 19. Stefanov S. 44. Vidakovic V. 6. Yovkov S. 1. Zelazowski B. (G)
Coaches
Freitas S.
Chilikov G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
12', Herard F. (Penalty Awarded),
15', Todorov D. 🟨,
20', Cabarcas Perez J. C. 🟨,
25', 1 - 0, Herard F. ⚽, Liberal A. (A),
35', Gospodinov P. 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Liberal A. ⚽,
40', Liberal A. ↓, Dzhamov A. ↑,
41', Kitanov G. ↓, Zelazowski B. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Apostolov R. ↓, Sou E. ↑,
46', Antoniou K. ↓, Dilchovski M. ↑,
56', Pedro Igor (Penalty Awarded),
63', 2 - 1, Budinov I. ⚽,
65', Fonkeu W. ↓, Vidakovic V. ↑,
73', 2 - 2, Alves A. ⚽,
80', Pedro Igor ↓, Stoichkov S. ↑,
80', Ivanov G. ↓, Fontaine N. ↑,
84', Budinov I. ↓, Chorbadzhiyski B. ↑,
90', 2 - 3, Valino A. ⚽,
90+5', Ozornwafor V. 🟨,
Preview
A dramatic battle between two struggling sides fighting for survival points (ranked 12th in the efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 14th in the efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Septemvri Sofia won 1.
Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Septemvri Sofia holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Septemvri Sofia has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:18 (averaging 1:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Septemvri Sofia against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 6:13 goals (averaging 0.9:1.9 per game).