Match Info

BULGARIA: VTORA LIGA - ROUND 11

Date: 28 September 2023, Thursday

Location: Stadion Dragalevtsi (Sofia)


	Septemvri Sofia		Maritsa Plovdiv

	1	X	2
	1.28	5	8.5	Watch
	1.3	4.83	7.8
	1.3	4.9	7.8	Watch
	1.34	4.9	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.44)	4.91 ↑ (4.2)	7.83 ↑ (5.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Septemvri Sofia
69.8%

Draw
18.6%

Maritsa Plovdiv
11.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.6%

21.5%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

20.3%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Septemvri Sofia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Septemvri Sofia's performance.

Maritsa Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maritsa Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Septemvri Sofia - Maritsa Plovdiv Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Maritsa Plovdiv will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Sheytanov D. (G) 11. Achkov M. 4. Arsov I. 8. Atanasov Z. A. 26. Badara A. 22. Dimitrov Z. 23. Gavrilov Y. 5. Georgiev A. (C) 24. Marinov B. 19. Mitkov M. 13. Yordanov Y.	33. Nachev P. (G) 5. Avramov D. 24. David I. 23. James S. 21. Malamov S. 10. Marchev V. (C) 77. Popov S. 4. Pushkarov M. 7. Shterev S. 29. Tasholov A. 9. Trifonov G.
Substitutes
2. Arahangelov N. 15. Dinkov G. 6. Georgiev P. 1. Iliev I. (G) 14. Ivanov H. 10. Kostadinov D. 9. Mihaylov I. 16. Petrov A. 17. Stojanov M.	11. Aliev O. 15. Dimitrov H. 17. Domovchiyski V. 19. Gaziev M. 18. Peev A. 26. Petkov V. (G) 70. Shehov B. 13. Tanchev M. 22. Yordanov I.

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga and 12).

Septemvri Sofia is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Maritsa Plovdiv is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Septemvri Sofia is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Septemvri Sofia to win the game is with odds 1.4.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Septemvri Sofia won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Septemvri Sofia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Septemvri Sofia
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
24.09.23	Spartak Varna - Septemvri Sofia	1:2 ✺
18.09.23	Septemvri Sofia - Belasitsa Petrich	2:0 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
12.09.23	Nesebar - Septemvri Sofia	2:4 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
01.09.23	Bdin Vidin - Septemvri Sofia	1:2 ✺
28.08.23	Septemvri Sofia - Chernomorets Burgas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWWL
- FC Maritsa Plovdiv
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
22.09.23	Maritsa Plovdiv - Dunav Ruse	0:1 ✺
18.09.23	Maritsa Plovdiv - Marek Dupnitsa	0:1 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
13.09.23	Spartak Plovdiv - Maritsa Plovdiv	0:5 ✺
Bulgarian Vtora Liga
03.09.23	Spartak Varna - Maritsa Plovdiv	2:0 ✺
29.08.23	Maritsa Plovdiv - Belasitsa Petrich	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
25.02.22	Maritsa Plovdiv - Septemvri Sofia	1:1
13.08.21	Septemvri Sofia - Maritsa Plovdiv	1:2

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