The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Spartak Varna 48.2%
Draw 29.1%
Septemvri Sofia 22.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.9%
27.9%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
28.1%
23.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Spartak Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
Septemvri Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Septemvri Sofia than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
72.7%
18.2%
9.1%
Spartak Varna - Septemvri Sofia Predictions
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Spartak Varna will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Septemvri Sofia will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for Spartak Varna: 46.4% โ 99%.
23. Iliev P. (G) 29. Ahmedov A. 44. Granchov A. (C) 11. Hanne B. 2. Ivanov B. 10. Jota Lopes 17. Marinov T. 82. Silva T. 6. Sousa R. 45. Tshitoku J. 76. Valverde D.
12. Ivanov Vladimir (G) 5. Baurenski Y. 11. Dzhamov A. 6. Ferreira P. 29. Herard F. 4. Hristov M. (C) 27. Liberal A. 13. Onasci K. 26. Ozornwafor V. 8. Penchev B. 3. Wade S.
Substitutes
7. Bua 9. Chunchukov T. 80. Gomes A. 77. Ivanov A. 3. Juric-Petrasilo M. 19. Major S. 14. Pavlov D. 99. Trifonov G. 1. Victor P. (G)
24. Atanasov Z. A. 17. Fontaine N. 15. Gospodinov P. 33. Ivanov G. 19. Pedro Igor 1. Radkov A. (G) 7. Ribeiro E. 28. Stoichkov S. 20. Tomovski B.
Coaches
Petrov Y.
Freitas S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Onasci K. 🟨,
33', Liberal A. 🟨,
39', Granchov A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Hanne B. ↓, Ivanov A. ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Liberal A. ⚽,
63', Dzhamov A. ↓, Stoichkov S. ↑,
71', Silva T. ↓, Bua ↑,
71', Sousa R. ↓, Major S. ↑,
71', Ahmedov A. ↓, Chunchukov T. ↑,
74', Valverde D. 🟨,
79', Marinov T. ↓, Trifonov G. ↑,
79', Baurenski Y. ↓, Ivanov G. ↑,
87', Herard F. ↓, Ribeiro E. ↑,
87', Liberal A. ↓, Pedro Igor ↑,
90+3', Wade S. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 12 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Spartak Varna won 2.
Spartak Varna is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Septemvri Sofia is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Septemvri Sofia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Spartak Varna is seen as the favorite.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Spartak Varna won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:18. (average 1.3:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Spartak Varna won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:9. (average 1.8:1.5).
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Iliev P. (G) 
Hanne B. 
Tshitoku J. 
Valverde D. 
Herard F. 
Ozornwafor V. 
Wade S. 
Bua 
Gomes A. 
Juric-Petrasilo M. 
Major S. 
Fontaine N. 
Gospodinov P. 
