Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday


	Seregno		Folgore Caratese

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.25
	2.29	3.13	2.87
	2.05	3.2	3.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (2.03)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	3.19 ↓ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Seregno
42.8%

Draw
28.8%

Folgore Caratese
28.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

28.4%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

28.4%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Seregno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Folgore Caratese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Seregno than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group B (Play Out)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Seregno will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Seregno won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Seregno won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Seregno Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group B
16.10.22	Lumezzane - Seregno	4:0 ✺
09.10.22	Seregno - Caronnese	1:0 ✺
02.10.22	Ponte San Pietro Isola - Seregno	1:1 ✺
28.09.22	Seregno - Brusaporto	0:0 ✺
18.09.22	Varese - Seregno	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTTT
- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
16.10.22	Folgore Caratese - Varesina	0:2 ✺
09.10.22	Alcione - Folgore Caratese	1:2 ✺
02.10.22	Folgore Caratese - Casatese	0:0 ✺
28.09.22	Franciacorta - Folgore Caratese	2:1 ✺
18.09.22	Folgore Caratese - Virtus CiseranoBergamo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Coppa Italia Serie D
13.11.19	Folgore Caratese - Seregno	3:2 penalties
Italian Serie D - Group B
03.11.19	Folgore Caratese - Seregno	0:0
Italian Serie D - Group A
28.01.18	Seregno - Folgore Caratese	2:2
24.09.17	Folgore Caratese - Seregno	5:0

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