Match Info

Serie D - Group B - Round 25

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Folgore Caratese		Casatese

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	3.8
	2.03	2.84	4.01	Watch
	2	2.9	3.4
	2.01	2.78	4.09
	1.83	3.45	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↑ (1.83)	2.99 ↓ (3.45)	3.83 ↓ (3.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Folgore Caratese
46.1%

Draw
30.2%

Casatese
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

26.4%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

26%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Folgore Caratese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Casatese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore Caratese than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casatese than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Folgore Caratese - Casatese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Carannante G. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group B (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Folgore Caratese won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Folgore Caratese will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Folgore Caratese won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Folgore Caratese won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Folgore Caratese ASD
Italian Serie D - Group B
15.02.26	Chievo - Folgore Caratese	1:4 ✺
08.02.26	Folgore Caratese - Pavia	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Leon - Folgore Caratese	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Castellanzese - Folgore Caratese	0:0 ✺
11.01.26	Folgore Caratese - Villa Valle	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWLTW
- USD Casatese
Italian Serie D - Group B
15.02.26	Casatese - Real Calepina	1:0 ✺
08.02.26	Breno - Casatese	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Casatese - Oltrepo	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Milan Futuro - Casatese	2:3 ✺
18.01.26	Casatese - Caldiero Terme	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group B
19.10.25	Casatese - Folgore Caratese	1:1
15.09.24	Casatese - Folgore Caratese	2:0
17.03.24	Folgore Caratese - Casatese	3:1
05.11.23	Casatese - Folgore Caratese	1:1
05.02.23	Casatese - Folgore Caratese	2:0
02.10.22	Folgore Caratese - Casatese	0:0
27.04.22	Folgore Caratese - Casatese	1:0

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