Match Info

Date: 5 December 2021, Sunday


	Serik Belediyespor		Ergene Velimeşe

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.7	3.3
	1.7	3.55	4
	1.86	3.5	3.45
	1.68	4.07	4.19
	1.69	3.72	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.78)	3.71 ↑ (3.4)	3.87 ↓ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serik Belediyespor
51.9%

Draw
24.5%

Ergene Velimeşe
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.5%

26.9%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

21.5%

17.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serik Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Ergene Velimeşe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+12.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Serik Belediyespor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ergene Velimeşe than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ergene Velimeşe, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Serik Belediyespor - Ergene Velimeşe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 12 and 17).

Recent matches Serik Belediyespor is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ergene Velimeşe has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ergene Velimeşe could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Serik Belediyespor is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serik Belediyespor
Turkish Cup
30.11.21	Adana Demirspor - Serik Belediyespor	5:0 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
26.11.21	Yeni Diyarbakırspor - Serik Belediyespor	3:0 ✺
21.11.21	Serik Belediyespor - Afjet Afyonspor	0:0 ✺
14.11.21	Adiyamanspor - Serik Belediyespor	0:4 ✺
10.11.21	Serik Belediyespor - Niğde Belediyespor	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLTWW
- Ergene Velimeşe
Turkish Second League Red Group
27.11.21	Ergene Velimeşe - Turgutlu	1:2 ✺
21.11.21	Sakaryaspor - Ergene Velimeşe	3:2 ✺
14.11.21	Ergene Velimeşe - Etimesgut	1:2 ✺
10.11.21	Ergene Velimeşe - Yeni Diyarbakırspor	0:0 ✺
06.11.21	Afjet Afyonspor - Ergene Velimeşe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLTL

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