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Current Win Probability
Adana Demirspor 13.2%
Draw 19.5%
Serik Belediyespor 67.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.8%
25.3%
53.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.6%
23.9%
57.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Adana Demirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Adana Demirspor's form might have worsened.
Serik Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Serik Belediyespor's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adana Demirspor than the current prediction. (+6.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Adana Demirspor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-10.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Serik Belediyespor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Users Predictions:
Serik Belediyespor will win
(7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%). Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Eser M. (G) 16. Kucuk K. (C) 23. Demirkiran Y. 43. Fidan A. 77. Kaynak O. 78. Irga S. 2. Demirtas E. 88. Saygan K. 98. Bayar T. 26. Dubus D. A. 18. Bolat A.
21. Sapan V. (G) 22. Ceylan B. (C) 4. Martynov A. 28. Montes A. 44. Cavlan C. 77. Nalepa M. 88. Nefiz E. 79. Altiparmak G. 14. Adeola R. 40. Nwachukwu C. 9. Sadygov I.
Substitutes
66. Aktas H. E. 90. Cimen O. (G) 97. Ergen M. 30. Gurol Y. 3. Kaya H. A. 17. Menemencioglu M. 5. Namli E. 21. Ozkanbas A. 24. Sarikaya A. 15. Zengin D.
5. Demir C. 39. Demirozu M. 61. Ibrahimoglu M. 27. Karakaya B. (G) 95. Koc A. 66. Kosker K. 70. Ozcan S. 55. Skvortsov L. 2. Tashkyn S. 98. Topalli J.
Coaches
Kubilayhan Y.
Boran M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 3)
1', 0 - 1, Martynov A. ⚽, Nalepa M. (A),
15', 0 - 2, Nwachukwu C. ⚽, Martynov A. (A),
38', 0 - 3, Altiparmak G. ⚽, Adeola R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Dubus D. A. ↓, Menemencioglu M. ↑,
46', Irga S. ↓, Gurol Y. ↑,
57', Nwachukwu C. ↓, Topalli J. ↑,
57', Nefiz E. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
62', Bayar T. 🟨,
67', Martynov A. ↓, Skvortsov L. ↑,
67', Ceylan B. ↓, Tashkyn S. ↑,
74', Bayar T. ↓, Ergen M. ↑,
79', 0 - 4, Adeola R. ⚽,
81', Altiparmak G. ↓, Koc A. ↑,
81', Saygan K. ↓, Ozkanbas A. ↑,
87', Bolat A. ↓, Aktas H. E. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 4, Kucuk K. ⚽,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
Each of the two teams has experienced multiple losses lately.
Adana Demirspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Serik Belediyespor is the obvious favorite.
There will not play in Adana Demirspor: Gulay S.
(Suspended)
Tunc G.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Asan B.
(Yellow Cards)
Demir I.
(Tendon Injury)
Dilli S.
(Yellow Cards)
Guibero R.
(Inactive)
Okoro J.
(Inactive)
Spasov G.
(Inactive)
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Adana Demirspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 2.5:2).
Including home match between the teams, Adana Demirspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0.
Asia
Turkey
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Eser M. (G) 
Martynov A. 
Montes A. 
Cavlan C. 
Nalepa M. 
Adeola R. 
Ibrahimoglu M. 
Karakaya B. (G) 
Koc A. 
Skvortsov L. 
Tashkyn S. 
Topalli J. 
