Match Info
Copa Espirito Santo - Round 1Date: 30 May 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estádio Municipal Roberto Siqueira Costa (Serra)
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 |
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Serra |
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Porto Vitória |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.19 |
3.37 |
2.96 |
Watch |
 |
2.22 |
3.51 |
2.89 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.21 ↓ (2.22) |
3.44 ↑ (3.15) |
2.93 ↓ (3.01) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Serra 41.8% | Draw 26.8% | Porto Vitória 31.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Serra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)Porto Vitória has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serra than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Porto Vitória than the current prediction. (-3%)Serra - Porto Vitória Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
Preview
First leg result: 1-3. Aggregate: 3-4. Second leg.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Serra won 2.Serra is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).Porto Vitória's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Porto Vitória may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Serra is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Serra won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:15. (average 1.1:1.9).Including home matches between the teams, Serra won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;