Match Info

Copa Espirito Santo - Round 3

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Municipal Roberto Siqueira Costa (Serra)


	Serra		Vilavelhense

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.48
	2.16	2.87	3.55	Watch
	2.02	3.05	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↑ (1.48)	2.97 ↓ (3.93)	3.54 ↓ (6.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serra
44.1%

Draw
30.4%

Vilavelhense
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

23.3%

15%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Serra's form might have worsened.

Vilavelhense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vilavelhense's recent form is better than expected.

Serra - Vilavelhense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, ⚽,
45+2', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', 1 - 3, ⚽,
69', 🟥,
72', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+2', 🟥,
90+15', 🟥,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Espirito Santo (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Serra won 2.

Serra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Serra is the obvious favorite.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Serra won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:14. (average 2.1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Serra won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serra FC
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
28.03.26	Serra - Porto Vitória	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Porto Vitória - Serra	3:1 ✺
15.03.26	Serra - Vilavelhense	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Vilavelhense - Serra	1:2 ✺
26.02.26	Serra - Noroeste	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WLWWW
- Vilavelhense FC
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
26.04.26	Vilavelhense - Sport Capixaba	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
15.03.26	Serra - Vilavelhense	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Vilavelhense - Serra	1:2 ✺
27.02.26	Vilavelhense - Desportiva Ferroviaria	1:1 ✺
22.02.26	Desportiva Ferroviaria - Vilavelhense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
15.03.26	Serra - Vilavelhense	1:0
07.03.26	Vilavelhense - Serra	1:2
09.02.26	Vilavelhense - Serra	1:0
Brazilian Copa Espirito Santo
15.06.25	Vilavelhense - Serra	2:1
Brazilian Campeonato Capixaba
11.03.23	Vilavelhense - Serra	3:3
08.04.22	Serra - Vilavelhense	3:1
31.03.22	Vilavelhense - Serra	1:3

Serra - Vilavelhense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide