Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca B2 - Round 9

Date: 6 November 2024, Wednesday


	Serra Macaense		Niteroiense

	1	X	2
	3.8	3	1.88
	3.61	2.92	1.92
	3.78	3.22	1.95	Watch
	4.29	3.4	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.87 ↑ (2.97)	3.14 ↑ (2.95)	1.88 ↓ (2.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serra Macaense
23.3%

Draw
28.7%

Niteroiense
48%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

30.8%

38.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

30.5%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serra Macaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Serra Macaense's form might have worsened.

Niteroiense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Niteroiense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serra Macaense than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Serra Macaense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niteroiense than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Niteroiense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Serra Macaense - Niteroiense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
59', 1 - 1, Cafu ⚽,
90+6', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+8', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serra Macaense
Brazilian Carioca B2
03.11.24	Zinza - Serra Macaense	0:0 ✺
28.10.24	Serra Macaense - Rio São Paulo	Serra Macaense awarded ✺
25.10.24	7 de Abril - Serra Macaense	0:0 ✺
21.10.24	Serra Macaense - Rio de Janeiro	1:0 ✺
17.10.24	Carapebus Campos - Serra Macaense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 T?TWT
- Niteroiense FC
Brazilian Carioca B2
03.11.24	Mageense - Niteroiense	2:4 ✺
28.10.24	Niteroiense - Zinza	1:1 ✺
24.10.24	Rio São Paulo - Niteroiense	0:2 ✺
21.10.24	Niteroiense - 7 de Abril	1:1 ✺
17.10.24	Rio de Janeiro - Niteroiense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTWTW

Serra Macaense - Niteroiense: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide