Match Info

Carioca B2 - Round 5

Date: 27 September 2026, Sunday


	Serra Macaense		Rio de Janeiro

	1	X	2
	1.48	4.05	5.1
	1.52	3.63	6.2	Watch
	1.45	3.92	6.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 (1.48)	3.87 ↓ (4.5)	5.78 ↑ (5.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serra Macaense
61%

Draw
23.4%

Rio de Janeiro
15.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62%

20.4%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serra Macaense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Rio de Janeiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Serra Macaense - Rio de Janeiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
79', 2 - 0, ⚽,
85', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 8th and 9th).

Bookmakers give the edge to Serra Macaense for this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Serra Macaense has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:0 (averaging 1.5:0 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Serra Macaense against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Serra Macaense	7	4	1	2	14:8	6	13
7	FC Rio de Janeiro	7	3	1	3	11:7	4	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serra Macaense
Brazilian Carioca B2
20.09.26	Búzios - Serra Macaense	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	Serra Macaense - Paduano	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	7 de Abril - Serra Macaense	2:2 ✺
30.08.26	Serra Macaense - Friburguense	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Belford Roxo - Serra Macaense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 WLTLL
- FC Rio de Janeiro
Brazilian Carioca B2
21.09.26	Rio de Janeiro - Santa Cruz RJ	1:3 ✺
13.09.26	Cardoso Moreira - Rio de Janeiro	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Belford Roxo - Rio de Janeiro	0:0 ✺
31.08.26	Rio de Janeiro - Búzios	3:1 ✺
06.11.25	7 de Abril - Rio de Janeiro	6:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca B2
02.11.25	Rio de Janeiro - Serra Macaense	0:2
21.10.24	Serra Macaense - Rio de Janeiro	1:0

Serra Macaense - Rio de Janeiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide