The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Belford Roxo 44.8%
Draw 27%
Serra Macaense 28.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.8%
26.7%
26.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50%
28.5%
24.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belford Roxo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
Serra Macaense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Belford Roxo than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Belford Roxo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serra Macaense than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
Belford Roxo - Serra Macaense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
35', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
71', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Carioca B2 Playoffs - Semi - finals and 2nd in the Promotion - Carioca B2 Playoffs - Semi - finals).
Both teams are currently displaying solid and consistent form.
Belford Roxo could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Belford Roxo is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Belford Roxo has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.
Specifically in home fixtures for Belford Roxo against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.