Match Info

Carioca B1 - Round 2

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday


	Serrano FC		Duque de Caxias

	1	X	2
	3.33	1.74	4.74	Watch
	2.5	2.88	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (3.47)	2.31 ↓ (3.35)	3.76 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Serrano FC
32.9%

Draw
41.5%

Duque de Caxias
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

27.8%

45.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Serrano FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Serrano FC's performance.

Duque de Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Duque de Caxias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Serrano FC - Duque de Caxias Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Faiska ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 1, Eduardo ⚽,
77', Abuda 🟥,
90', Adriano 🟥,
90+1', Caio Rangel 🟥,
90+4', 2 - 1, Gutinho ⚽,

Preview

Duque de Caxias might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Serrano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Including home match between the teams, Serrano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Serrano FC Petrópolis
Brazilian Carioca B1
07.09.25	Campo Grande - Serrano FC	1:1 ✺
12.11.24	Paduano - Serrano FC	1:0 ✺
06.11.24	Serrano FC - Pérolas Negras	2:2 ✺
02.11.24	Nova Cidade - Serrano FC	3:2 ✺
26.10.24	Serrano FC - São Gonçalo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 TLTLL
- Duque de Caxias
Brazilian Carioca B1
06.09.25	Duque de Caxias - Petrópolis	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
13.08.25	Madureira - Duque de Caxias	0:1 ✺
30.07.25	Duque de Caxias - Madureira	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
12.07.25	Duque de Caxias - Cabofriense	0:0 ✺
07.07.25	Pérolas Negras - Duque de Caxias	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
25.05.24	Duque de Caxias - Serrano FC	1:0
30.09.20	Serrano FC - Duque de Caxias	0:3

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