Match Info

Carioca 2 - Round 11

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday


	Duque de Caxias		Cabofriense

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.6	2.9
	2.4	2.88	3.15
	2.42	2.91	3
				Watch
	2.38	2.81	3.11
	2.18	3.15	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↑ (2.18)	2.87 ↓ (3.15)	3.06 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Duque de Caxias
38.4%

Draw
31.8%

Cabofriense
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

27%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Duque de Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Cabofriense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duque de Caxias than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cabofriense than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Duque de Caxias - Cabofriense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
83', Everton Felipe 🟥,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 5).

Recent performances by Duque de Caxias have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cabofriense is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Duque de Caxias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Duque de Caxias
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
07.07.25	Pérolas Negras - Duque de Caxias	1:0 ✺
28.06.25	Duque de Caxias - Americano Rio de Janeiro	2:1 ✺
21.06.25	Araruama - Duque de Caxias	0:0 ✺
14.06.25	Duque de Caxias - America RJ	1:1 ✺
07.06.25	Audax Rio - Duque de Caxias	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWTTL
- AD Cabofriense
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
06.07.25	Cabofriense - Olaria	2:1 ✺
28.06.25	Bangu - Cabofriense	2:0 ✺
22.06.25	Cabofriense - Petrópolis	1:1 ✺
14.06.25	Resende - Cabofriense	1:0 ✺
08.06.25	São Gonçalo - Cabofriense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
13.07.24	Cabofriense - Duque de Caxias	1:2
26.06.21	Cabofriense - Duque de Caxias	3:2
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
02.02.14	Cabofriense - Duque de Caxias	2:1

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