Match Info

BRAZIL: Paulista A3 - Round 15

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Sertãozinho		Bandeirante

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.6	4.9
	1.59	3.63	5.49	Watch
	1.56	3.22	6.76
	1.61	3.6	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.94)	3.51 ↑ (3.3)	5.51 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sertãozinho
57.4%

Draw
26%

Bandeirante
16.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.9%

27.5%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

26.5%

24.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sertãozinho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sertãozinho's performance.

Bandeirante has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bandeirante might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertãozinho than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sertãozinho that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bandeirante than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bandeirante could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sertãozinho - Bandeirante Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Paolo ⚽,
12', 1 - 1, Adiel ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista A3 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).

Sertãozinho is Qualified for Paulista A3 (Play Offs Quarter~finals)

Recent matches Sertãozinho is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Bandeirante is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Sertãozinho is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sertãozinho won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Including matches at home between the teams Sertãozinho won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sertãozinho FC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
08.03.25	Rio Preto - Sertãozinho	1:1 ✺
05.03.25	Atlético Monte Azul - Sertãozinho	1:1 ✺
01.03.25	Sertãozinho - Marília	0:0 ✺
26.02.25	Sertãozinho - EC São Bernardo	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Desportivo Brasil - Sertãozinho	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TTTTW
- Bandeirante EC
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
09.03.25	Bandeirante - Desportivo Brasil	0:1 ✺
05.03.25	Comercial SP - Bandeirante	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Rio Preto - Bandeirante	3:0 ✺
26.02.25	Bandeirante - União Suzano	3:0 ✺
22.02.25	EC São Bernardo - Bandeirante	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A3
28.02.24	Sertãozinho - Bandeirante	1:0

Sertãozinho - Bandeirante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide