Match Info

PORTUGAL: CAMPEONATO DE PORTUGAL - ROUND 6

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday


	Sertanense		Rio Maior

	1	X	2
	1.43	3.9	6.25
	1.4	3.8	7
	1.47	3.8	6
	1.52	3.8	6.37
	1.47	3.92	6.1
	1.49	3.9	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↑ (1.45)	3.85 ↓ (3.98)	6.32 ↑ (6.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sertanense
62.1%

Draw
23.6%

Rio Maior
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

22.7%

14.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

14.3%

23.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sertanense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Rio Maior has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-22.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sertanense that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Maior than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rio Maior could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 13 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Sertanense is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rio Maior is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Rio Maior could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sertanense is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sertanense
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
30.10.22	Marinhense - Sertanense	0:0 ✺
23.10.22	Sertanense - 1 Dezembro	1:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
16.10.22	Rabo de Peixe - Sertanense	2:1 ✺
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
09.10.22	Mortágua - Sertanense	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
02.10.22	Sertanense - Castro Daire	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TLLTW
- Rio Maior SC
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
29.10.22	Rio Maior - Alcains	0:2 ✺
23.10.22	Loures - Rio Maior	1:1 ✺
09.10.22	Rio Maior - Pero Pinheiro	0:1 ✺
25.09.22	Coruchense - Rio Maior	1:0 ✺
18.09.22	Rio Maior - Sintrense	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTLLT

Sertanense - Rio Maior: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide