Match Info
PORTUGAL: Campeonato de Portugal - Group C - Round 15Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Marinhense |
|
Sertanense |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.53 |
3.5 |
5.5 |
|
 |
1.54 |
3.55 |
6 |
|
 |
1.56 |
3.44 |
5.98 |
|
 |
1.54 |
3.55 |
6 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.47) |
3.51 ↓
(3.74) |
5.87 ↓
(6.57) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Marinhense
58.7% | Draw
25.8% | Sertanense
15.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marinhense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Sertanense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marinhense than the current prediction. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sertanense than the current prediction. (-1.8%)Marinhense - Sertanense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45', 1 - 0, Mucuana Lobo E. J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', 2 - 0, Vieira J. (Pen),
Preview
This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 5 and 13 in the zone Relegation).Last 5 head-to-head matches Marinhense won 3. One and the other team get a very uncertain game. In this match Marinhense is indisputable favorite.
Last 12 head-to-head matches Marinhense won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.1:1). Including matches at home between the teams Marinhense won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:4 (average 0.8:0.8).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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