Match Info

Champions League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 July 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade de Genève (Geneva) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Ruiz A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Czech Republic	21:00	CANAL+ Sport 2
Switzerland	21:00	Play RTS, Play RTS, RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, RTS Sport, RTS Sport, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Servette		Viktoria Plzeň

	1	X	2
	4	4.2	1.7	Watch
	3.9	3.7	1.83
	4.25	3.95	1.7	Watch
	4.27	4.18	1.75
	2.22	3.98	2.75	Watch
	3.8	3.6	1.85
	4.25	4.2	1.76	Watch
	3.3	3.5	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.75 ↑ (3.12)	3.91 ↑ (3.67)	1.92 ↓ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Servette
25.6%

Draw
24.5%

Viktoria Plzeň
49.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.8%

26.2%

43.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

26.7%

44%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Servette has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Servette's form might have worsened.

Viktoria Plzeň has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Viktoria Plzeň's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Servette than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Viktoria Plzeň than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Viktoria Plzeň, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	29.6%	48.1%

Servette - Viktoria Plzeň Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Servette will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Plzeň will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Plzeň: 25.9% – 65.7%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Servette (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Plzeň (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

TQ, OT - Plzeň (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Servette (2.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Plzeň (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Servette (votes: 2 - 20%). Plzeň (votes: 5 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mall J. (G) 20. Magnin T. 4. Rouiller S. (C) 19. Severin Y. 18. Mazikou B. 8. Cognat T. 6. Baron A. 9. Stevanovic M. 10. Antunes A. 7. Morandi G. 90. Mraz S.	44. Wiegele F. (G) 40. Dweh S. 3. Markovic S. 21. Jemelka V. 24. Havel M. 85. Zeljkovic A. 6. Cerv L. 5. Spacil K. 31. Sulc P. 11. Vydra M. (C) 17. Durosinmi R.
Substitutes
45. Atangana J. 40. Aubert M. (G) 25. Bronn D. 32. Frick J. (G) 21. Guillemenot J. 30. Jallow A. 5. Ondoua G. 17. Ouattara T. 37. Simo J. 2. Srdanovic L. 29. Varela K. 33. Zuka L.	80. Adu P. 14. Doski M. 7. Kabongo C. 18. Ladra T. 99. Memic A. 22. Paluska J. 20. Panos J. 15. Silhavy M. (G) 29. Sloncik T. 13. Tvrdon M. (G) 32. Valenta M. 9. Visinsky D.
Coaches
Haberli T.	Koubek M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', 1 - 0, Antunes A. ⚽, Rouiller S. (A),
25', Severin Y. 🟨,
28', 1 - 1, Spacil K. ⚽, Dweh S. (A),
31', 1 - 2, Vydra M. ⚽,
37', Mazikou B. 🟨,
39', Cerv L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', Zeljkovic A. 🟥,
69', Severin Y. 🟨,
71', Spacil K. ↓, Doski M. ↑,
71', Havel M. ↓, Memic A. ↑,
75', Antunes A. ↓, Bronn D. ↑,
75', Mraz S. ↓, Guillemenot J. ↑,
78', Vydra M. ↓, Ladra T. ↑,
87', 1 - 3, Durosinmi R. (Pen),
89', Magnin T. ↓, Srdanovic L. ↑,
89', Morandi G. ↓, Varela K. ↑,
90+3', Sulc P. ↓, Visinsky D. ↑,
90+3', Mazikou B. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
90+4', Jallow A. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 1-0. 2nd leg.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Servette has had a series of away games.

Recently, Plzeň has had a series of home games.

In this match, Plzeň is considered a favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Servette won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Servette won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Servette FC
Swiss Super League
26.07.25	Young Boys - Servette	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.07.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Servette	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.07.25	Saint-Étienne - Servette	2:3 ✺
12.07.25	Grenoble - Servette	0:1 ✺
09.07.25	Lausanne Ouchy - Servette	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 LWWWL
- Viktoria Plzeň
Czech 1 Liga
26.07.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Jablonec	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
22.07.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Servette	0:1 ✺
Czech 1 Liga
18.07.25	Pardubice - Viktoria Plzeň	1:5 ✺
Club Friendly
12.07.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Bochum	1:1 ✺
08.07.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Górnik Zabrze	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
22.07.25	Viktoria Plzeň - Servette	0:1
UEFA Europa Conference League
14.03.24	Viktoria Plzeň - Servette	1:0 penalties
07.03.24	Servette - Viktoria Plzeň	0:0
Club Friendly
20.01.17	Viktoria Plzeň - Servette	Canceled

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