Match Info

SWITZERLAND: Promotion League

Date: 12 May 2024, Sunday


	Servette U21		Luzern II

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.4	2.05
	2.75	3.4	2.25
	2.73	3.92	2.19
	2.85	3.94	2.1
	2.75	3.4	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (3.47)	3.61 ↑ (3.53)	2.17 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Servette U21
32.6%

Draw
25.3%

Luzern II
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.7%

26.3%

47%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.9%

25.5%

48.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Servette U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Servette U21's performance.

Luzern II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Servette U21 than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Servette U21 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luzern II than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luzern II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Servette U21 - Luzern II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aubert M. (G) 2. Kaloga I. 15. Rizvanovic M. 5. Vlasenko N. 13. Behrami V. 21. Sene O. 6. Simo J. (C) 9. Lahiouel Y. 8. Abdullah R. 22. Lyng A. 10. Sestito L.	1. Joao Pedro (G) 3. Vogel E. 5. Willimann M. 4. Haag S. 2. Freimann B. M. 6. Wicht N. G. E. 8. Napfer T. 10. Hegglin I. (C) 11. Bieri M. 9. Meyer S. 7. Breedijk L.
Substitutes
19. Annor-Mensah F. 17. Baddy Dega S. 7. Daf O. 18. Lapierre M. (G) 11. Mhoumadi A.	17. Berisha E. 18. Bock J. (G) 20. Jaiteh M. 16. Polat B. 15. Zimmermann M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Sestito L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Lyng A. 🟨,
72', Mhoumadi A. 🟨,
85', Wicht N. G. E. 🟨,
90', 1 - 1, Jaiteh M. ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Servette U21 is Relegated to

Recent matches Servette U21 is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Luzern II is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Luzern II could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Luzern II will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Servette U21 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Servette U21
Swiss Promotion League
04.05.24	Breitenrain Bern - Servette U21	2:2 ✺
28.04.24	Servette U21 - Basel II	2:1 ✺
21.04.24	Biel-Bienne - Servette U21	2:0 ✺
17.04.24	Servette U21 - Lugano II	2:2 ✺
31.03.24	Servette U21 - Delémont	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWLTL
- FC Luzern II
Swiss Promotion League
04.05.24	Luzern II - Delémont	0:3 ✺
27.04.24	Étoile Carouge - Luzern II	2:2 ✺
20.04.24	Luzern II - Cham	3:2 ✺
17.04.24	Bavois - Luzern II	5:2 ✺
06.04.24	Paradiso - Luzern II	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
04.11.23	Luzern II - Servette U21	4:2

Servette U21 - Luzern II: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide